Gartner research releases a series of predictions for the IT industry. The summary report is free, you don't have to be a subscriber, but registration is required. You can access it here.
I've been following these reports for a number of years, and while they aren't 100% accurate, they have been a great source of fodder for scenario planning.
This year's crop is exciting, and a bit scary.
If you believe them, it will throw you way out of your comfort zone as a CIO.
I'll be unpacking the impact of each of these items in future postings as I have time to evaluate the impact.
In the meantime, here's the list.
Top End-User Predictions for 2011 (Gartner)
- By 2015, a G20 nation’s critical infrastructure will be disrupted and damaged by online sabotage.
- By 2015, new revenue generated each year by IT will determine the annual compensation of most new Global 2000 CIOs.
- By 2015, information-smart businesses will increase recognized IT spending per head by 60 percent.
- By 2015, tools and automation will eliminate 25 percent of labor hours associated with IT services.
- By 2015, most external assessments of enterprise value and viability will include explicit analysis of IT assets and capabilities.
- By 2015, 80% of enterprises using external cloud services will demand independent certification that providers can restore operations and data.
- By 2015, companies will generate 50% of Web sales via their social presence and mobile applications.
- By 2015, 20 percent of non-IT Global 500 companies will be cloud service providers.
- By 2014, 90 percent of organizations will support corporate applications on personal devices.
- By 2013, 80 percent of businesses will support a workforce using tablets.
- By 2015, 10 percent of your online “friends” will be nonhuman.
I think that for the first one I'll do some serious thinking about is how I'm going to convince my executive and board we need to increase IT spending per head by 60 percent.
How about you?
Which one stands out to you and your nonhuman friends?