I've been following these reports for a number of years, and while they aren't 100% accurate, they have been a great source of fodder for scenario planning.
This year's crop is exciting, and a bit scary.
If you believe them, it will throw you way out of your comfort zone as a CIO.
I'll be unpacking the impact of each of these items in future postings as I have time to evaluate the impact.
In the meantime, here's the list.
Top End-User Predictions for 2011 (Gartner)
- By 2015, a G20 nation’s critical infrastructure will be disrupted and damaged by online sabotage.
- By 2015, new revenue generated each year by IT will determine the annual compensation of most new Global 2000 CIOs.
- By 2015, information-smart businesses will increase recognized IT spending per head by 60 percent.
- By 2015, tools and automation will eliminate 25 percent of labor hours associated with IT services.
- By 2015, most external assessments of enterprise value and viability will include explicit analysis of IT assets and capabilities.
- By 2015, 80% of enterprises using external cloud services will demand independent certification that providers can restore operations and data.
- By 2015, companies will generate 50% of Web sales via their social presence and mobile applications.
- By 2015, 20 percent of non-IT Global 500 companies will be cloud service providers.
- By 2014, 90 percent of organizations will support corporate applications on personal devices.
- By 2013, 80 percent of businesses will support a workforce using tablets.
- By 2015, 10 percent of your online “friends” will be nonhuman.
I think that for the first one I'll do some serious thinking about is how I'm going to convince my executive and board we need to increase IT spending per head by 60 percent.
How about you?
Which one stands out to you and your nonhuman friends?
By 2015, a G20 nation’s critical infrastructure will be disrupted and damaged by online sabotage.
ReplyDelete- If they were good enough to get in, the last thing they want people to know is they were actually there. Like the air as they say. So if they did damage, that's more terrorist then hacker. Which I'm not sure where Gartner would get that information from.
By 2013, 80 percent of businesses will support a workforce using tablets.
- 'They' figure in the next year or 2 there will be more people accessing the web with mobile/pad then pc. So not surprising.
By 2015, tools and automation will eliminate 25 percent of labor hours associated with IT services.
- Unfortunately ya. If not more.
By 2015, 10 percent of your online “friends” will be nonhuman.
- This has all sorts of bad written over it.
Thanks for the comment!
ReplyDeleteWhile some people disagree strongly with these predictions, they do show how much things in IT are changing, and why IT leadership needs to take a different view in order to thrive in this environment - which is in essence the whole point of this blog!
Stay warm in T'Bay!